Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.163411 0.191215 0.221793 0.257844 0.299109 0.344791 0.399113
2025-11-02 0.115808 0.152907 0.198198 0.257205 0.331656 0.422042 0.539603
2025-11-09 0.088411 0.127894 0.180011 0.253077 0.351971 0.480138 0.657590
2025-11-16 0.070271 0.109822 0.165560 0.248590 0.367587 0.530132 0.766648
2025-11-23 0.056011 0.093901 0.150545 0.239604 0.373828 0.565749 0.857224
2025-11-30 0.050598 0.090001 0.151886 0.253636 0.413446 0.650598 1.023405
2025-12-07 0.041905 0.079172 0.140701 0.246501 0.419623 0.686095 1.119361
2025-12-14 0.034854 0.069775 0.130243 0.238715 0.423147 0.716832 1.209429
2025-12-21 0.029521 0.062446 0.122081 0.233385 0.429495 0.751710 1.307782
2025-12-28 0.026442 0.058782 0.119765 0.237667 0.452033 0.814034 1.454472
2026-01-04 0.024285 0.056541 0.119679 0.245769 0.481694 0.890144 1.629140
2026-01-11 0.022042 0.053727 0.118070 0.250708 0.505904 0.958483 1.795187
2026-01-18 0.019702 0.050385 0.115121 0.253013 0.526026 1.022245 1.959963
2026-01-25 0.017393 0.046707 0.110999 0.252529 0.540876 1.077913 2.115007
2026-02-01 0.015118 0.042668 0.105504 0.248480 0.548204 1.120109 2.248434
2026-02-08 0.013143 0.038967 0.100187 0.244067 0.554170 1.159890 2.379806
2026-02-15 0.011162 0.034842 0.093267 0.235229 0.549998 1.179641 2.474467
2026-02-22 0.010780 0.034938 0.096301 0.249030 0.594639 1.297832 2.765545
2026-03-01 0.009296 0.031647 0.090611 0.242013 0.593725 1.325115 2.880927
2026-03-08 0.007985 0.028568 0.084970 0.234355 0.590513 1.347233 2.987178
2026-03-15 0.006956 0.026114 0.080563 0.229113 0.592124 1.379229 3.115192
2026-03-22 0.006426 0.025133 0.079963 0.233324 0.615898 1.459558 3.347498
2026-03-29 0.006081 0.024690 0.080791 0.241293 0.649210 1.562547 3.633256